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Market Correction and Posture Leading into 2019 As of Monday, December 17, 2018 the major market indexes, including the S&P 500 index are testing their

Drama Meets Composure October 10, 2018 The national drama playing out before the midterm elections contrasts sharply with a stock market that has every reason

It’s time to talk about the yield curve.  As you may know, I have had a note taped to my computer for eight years now. 

The United States is now in the second longest economic recovery on record.  This recovery is currently six percentage points less than the average historic

More Market Volatility April 6, 2018 Regarding the stock market; the market correction we are now experiencing is pressuring investor confidence.  Given the observation that

A Long-Awaited Correction February 13, 2018   Well, we waited 18 months for a correction in the S&P 500 and finally got one.  Fortunately, we

Standard Deviation, Price Momentum, Birds, Bonds and Oil   Standard deviation is one of many terms often used to describe the pendulum swing of volatility

Tax Policy, Class Struggle, Politics and Economics   The broad layout of the new Republican tax plan is out. Don’t spend your time drilling down

Heads up. There is a relationship between the value of stocks and interest rates.  And, this relationship is probably different than you think.  When yields

Be less anxious. While global growth has been tepid, during this period corporations have remained focused on lowering expenses and thereby enhancing returns to shareholders.

Changing Investment Styles and the Economic Cycle   Monitoring the rate of change in the business cycle (ups and downs) is an important part of

Advanced Optimism and the Need for a Healthy Correction Has the market become too optimistic?  The fact that analysts are asking this question suggests that